Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.905405 3.206555 3.531645 3.909652 4.338339 4.810827 5.372939
2025-07-13 2.476735 2.882566 3.350252 3.932813 4.644194 5.491272 6.586222
2025-07-20 2.230745 2.698487 3.264048 4.005916 4.964823 6.178309 7.855852
2025-07-27 2.059947 2.570279 3.211789 4.089878 5.280236 6.867067 9.193400
2025-08-03 1.915845 2.453238 3.151253 4.142087 5.541984 7.495836 10.515785
2025-08-10 1.788592 2.342001 3.081515 4.165318 5.753921 8.065005 11.815068
2025-08-17 1.634557 2.179237 2.924047 4.044576 5.737884 8.288642 12.603098
2025-08-24 1.522478 2.064326 2.821478 3.989221 5.806210 8.637303 13.625558
2025-08-31 1.434506 1.976021 2.748284 3.967748 5.919126 9.060826 14.823243
2025-09-07 1.393231 1.951314 2.764514 4.081283 6.252841 9.875872 16.822651
2025-09-14 1.322778 1.878074 2.701692 4.063460 6.366726 10.327440 18.217322
2025-09-21 1.254427 1.803261 2.630582 4.024981 6.439374 10.710379 19.532257
2025-09-28 1.153792 1.674704 2.469932 3.830620 6.230776 10.573671 19.810454
2025-10-05 1.108812 1.629884 2.438672 3.850404 6.402814 11.163402 21.699023
2025-10-12 1.078164 1.605442 2.437918 3.921220 6.672896 11.971700 24.207017
2025-10-19 1.051907 1.586133 2.443708 4.002949 6.970164 12.869765 27.093215
2025-10-26 1.021686 1.558383 2.433182 4.053794 7.212024 13.683733 29.944430
2025-11-02 0.988583 1.523856 2.408659 4.076419 7.399358 14.404622 32.713427
2025-11-09 0.933969 1.450505 2.312926 3.958810 7.291054 14.462602 33.758131
2025-11-16 0.893782 1.399516 2.253217 3.904885 7.308604 14.804753 35.644598
2025-11-23 0.861543 1.360485 2.212326 3.883966 7.393210 15.311661 38.106833
2025-11-30 0.851345 1.358859 2.237917 3.994567 7.771221 16.566173 43.075261
2025-12-07 0.822847 1.323801 2.200808 3.977205 7.865176 17.138080 46.091027